Our trauma probe
July 8, 2020, 1:42 pm by Sam Wang
Do the 2016 elections make us too shy to trust the polls? New in Columbia Press MagazineI tell you what happened, the success of polls in 2018 and 2019, and all its implications for 2020. I give your opinion on how journalists have could incorporate the data into their coverage of this year’s race.
I also point out that degraded races, such as the US Senate, state legislatures and other local races, are worth noting. Polls and other information can attract citizens’ attention and help mobilize action. For example, we are using that data to optimize contributions (see ActBlue and WinRed links on the right).
PS Some of you have written, confused about a particular point. In 2016, final probability is 93% for Hillary Clinton, which is not a higher number generated by automated computation (NYT tracked this).
Card: Elections in 2020